Mitt Romney no longer trails Barack Obama in the Pew Research Center’s presidential election polling. By about three-to-one, voters say Romney did a better job than Obama in the Oct. 3 debate, and the Republican is now better regarded on most personal dimensions and on most issues than he was in September. Romney is seen as the candidate who has new ideas and is viewed as better able than Obama to improve the jobs situation and reduce the budget deficit.
I have been skeptical of the polls throughout this election season and I am not about to start believing them now that they seem to show what I want to see. I suspect that the polls are less accurate this year than they have been in previous elections for a number of reasons, not least because only they only get a response from 9% of the people they contact.
Still, it seems that Romney has made gains on his popular impression on almost every issue and personality trait. Winning the first debate so overwhelmingly has allowed Romney to positively redefine himself.
Romney now ties Obama in being regarded as a strong leader and runs virtually even with the president in willingness to work with leaders of the other party. And by a 47% to 40% margin, voters pick Romney as the candidate who has new ideas.
Conversely, Obama continues hold leads as the candidate who connects well with ordinary people and takes consistent positions on issues. And Obama leads by 10 points (49% to 39%) as the candidate who takes more moderate positions on issues.
Romney has gained ground on several of these measures since earlier in the campaign. Most notably, Obama and Romney now run even (44% each) in terms of which candidate is the stronger leader. Obama held a 13-point advantage on this a month ago. And Obama’s 14-point edge as the more honest and truthful candidate has narrowed to just five points.
In June, Obama held a 17-point lead as the candidate voters thought was more willing to work with leaders from the other party. Today, the candidates run about even on this (45% say Obama, 42% Romney).
I think that the Republicans are far more enthusiastic this year and this could make all the difference.
I like this point.
Nearly two-thirds of voters who watched the debate say it was mostly informative (64%) compared with mostly confusing (26%). Republican voters overwhelmingly found the debate mostly informative (83%); only 11% say the debate was mostly confusing. By contrast, about as many Democratic voters say the debate was confusing (41%) as say it was informative (47%).
I guess facts are confusing to some.
- Romney leads by four points in post-debate survey (news.yahoo.com)
- Romney now leading Obama in new Pew poll (jsonline.com)
- In 1st national poll since debate, Romney surges with slight lead over Obama among likely voters – @nationaljournal (nationaljournal.com)
- Romney gets debate bump in Gallup poll (washingtonpost.com)
- Pew Poll Shows Debate Gave Romney a Big Bounce: Leads Obama 49-45 (theatlanticwire.com)
- Romney Is Winning Major New Poll (buzzfeed.com)