The news is full of the the stunning upset in the special election of New York’s ninth Congressional district, Anthony Weiner‘s old seat. Republican Bob Turner defeated Democrat David Weprin to gain a seat that has been in Democratic hands since 1923. A key factor in this 40% Jewish district seems to have been Obama’s poor treatment of Israel, which Turner criticized. Also, I believe that this election was seen by many as a referendum on Obama.
It is possible to make too much of a single election, but if I were a Democratic strategist, I would be really, really worried.